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Edition 2026-08-23

POLITICS

Polymarket Odds Shift for Florida Senate Race After Primary

Polymarket betting odds for Florida's Senate race moved higher after Angie Nixon won the Democratic primary, with incumbent Ashley Moody's chance of victory rising to 91% as of ...

By floridapolitics · 61d ago · Source: floridapolitics

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Polymarket betting odds for Florida's Senate race moved higher after Angie Nixon won the Democratic primary, with incumbent Ashley Moody's chance of victory rising to 91% as of Saturday. Before the primary, Moody's odds were 87% and a generic Democratic nominee was projected at 13%. Nixon was assigned a 9% chance of winning. In the governor's race, David Jolly's odds fell to 19% while Republican Byron Donalds maintained an 81% chance. The market for Amendment 3, which would raise homestead exemptions to $250,000 by 2028, saw its yes share drop to 28% as of Saturday, the lowest level since the market opened. The proposition requires 60% voter approval and has been supported by Republican candidates, while Democratic opponents have not used their stance on the measure as a political weapon. The durability of the betting odds and the final outcome of the amendment remain undetermined.

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Publisher
floridapolitics
Reliability
high
Published
8/23/2026, 10:00:15 AM
Retrieved
8/23/2026, 10:00:15 AM
Relevance
80%
Confidence
85%
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