A poll released by the campaign of Democratic Senate candidate Alex Vindman and conducted by Global Strategy Group found that 52% of Florida voters view former President Donald Trump unfavorably, while 46% view him favorably, resulting in a net approval of minus six. The numbers mark a ten-point decline from January, when Trump’s net approval was plus four.

Support among White college‑aged voters has dropped 15 points, and registered Republicans have fallen 10 points, with approval among self‑identified Trump 2024 voters also down ten points. The poll also shows Trump’s approval underwater in Ohio (41% approval, 53% disapproval) and Texas (41% approval, 54% disapproval). In 2018, exit polls indicated Trump remained more popular in Florida than nationally, and Republican Rick Scott defeated Democratic Senator Bill Nelson.

The findings indicate a potentially competitive Senate race in November, as Moody’s lead over Vindman is within the poll’s 3.1% margin of error.