Wednesday, August 26, 2026|20°C Partly Cloudy
Next edition scheduled
Your Personal Daily Intelligence

The Crypto Desk

Crypto

Bitcoin, Ethereum, regulation, and the forces moving digital assets.

23 stories · Edition of 2026-07-19 · Curated by AI at Invalid Date

CRYPTO

France Orders ISPs to Block Polymarket

38d ago · Source: coindesk

France’s gambling regulator, the Autorité Nationale des Jeux, ordered internet service providers to block access to Polymarket on July 16, classifying the platform as an illegal gambling site.

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market that lets users trade contracts based on the outcomes of events, including weather forecasts and political outcomes. It has faced restrictions in many jurisdictions.

The regulator said earlier bans on financial transactions had not kept French users from the site and that its real‑time odds display promoted an unauthorized gambling service. Concerns were raised about addictive mechanics, lack of self‑exclusion tools, and a high volume of French visitors.

Similarweb data showed 578,751 visits from 205,057 unique French users in June, even though a ban on monetary transactions had been in place since November 2024. A VPN could bypass the block, and the homepage remained accessible for viewing markets. Fines for non‑compliance can reach 100,000 euros.

The ANJ also cited a complaint from Météo‑France about a tampered temperature sensor linked to weather‑based bets, which prompted the Paris prosecutor’s cybercrime unit to open an investigation on May 4. It referenced a French trader known as “Fredi9999,” who moved U.S. election odds with multimillion‑dollar positions in 2024. France hardened its stance in February 2026 when the ANJ reclassified prediction markets as illegal gambling, citing addictive design and the absence of stake limits.

Polymarket is currently blocked or restricted in more than 30 countries, including Switzerland, Poland, Singapore, Belgium, Portugal, Spain (temporary), Brazil, Argentina, India, Indonesia, Italy, Germany, Romania, Hungary and Ukraine.

The move reflects broader regulatory scrutiny of prediction markets worldwide, and the effectiveness of the block remains uncertain as users can still access the site via VPNs.

CRYPTO

SWIFT Launches Blockchain‑Based Ledger for Tokenized Deposits with Major Banks

38d ago · Source: cryptonews

On July 9, 2026, SWIFT launched a blockchain‑based shared ledger with 17 major banks across six continents to enable round‑the‑clock cross‑border payments using tokenized deposits. SWIFT, the global messaging cooperative that has operated as a pure communications network for 53 years, extended its role to coordinate the movement of value for the first time. The ledger, built on Hyperledger Besu in a nine‑month development cycle with input from Consensys, functions as an orchestration layer that validates inter‑bank payment commitments while preserving existing compliance, credit, risk and control standards. Its purpose is limited to supporting 24/7 settlement, including weekends and overnight periods, without replacing existing payment rails. The New York Fed’s February 2026 staff report distinguished tokenized deposits, which keep funds on a regulated bank’s balance sheet and retain deposit insurance, from stablecoins, which are issued by non‑bank entities and operate on public blockchains. Tokenized deposits remain on banks’ balance sheets, preserving the money multiplier that supports lending, whereas stablecoin purchases move fiat out of banks into reserve accounts, reducing liquidity available for credit creation. SWIFT’s decision to support tokenized deposits rather than stablecoins reflects an intention to keep banking institutions central to digital‑money issuance and to avoid the regulatory and systemic risks associated with non‑bank stablecoins. The network’s reach, connecting more than 11,000 institutions in over 200 countries, gives SWIFT a distribution advantage that stablecoin issuers cannot match, potentially lowering integration costs for additional banks. However, tokenized‑deposit pilots are still in early stages and compete with other initiatives. JPMorgan’s Kinexys platform and a consortium led by JPMorgan, Bank of America, Barclays and BNY are developing US‑focused tokenized‑deposit networks through The Clearing House, targeting a 2027 launch. The proliferation of separate bank‑run rails raises the risk of fragmentation, a problem SWIFT’s shared ledger aims to mitigate. The three‑track architecture—open stablecoin models, single‑bank tokenized‑deposit systems, and shared‑bank‑network ledgers—may each serve distinct use cases, and the balance among them remains uncertain. The pilot’s progress will reveal whether SWIFT’s model can achieve the scale needed to influence global settlement standards.

CRYPTO

Circle Wins OCC Approval to Operate National Trust Bank for USDC

38d ago · Source: cryptoslate

Circle received final approval from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency on July 10 to create a national trust bank that will provide fiduciary custody and related services for USDC.

Standard Chartered warned in January that stablecoins could draw about $500 billion from U.S. bank deposits by the end of 2028, and a December 2025 Federal Reserve note projected that stablecoin adoption might reduce lending by $65 billion to $1.26 trillion depending on usage and reserve placement.

The trust bank charter does not turn Circle into a traditional lender; it will hold custody assets for Circle and its affiliates and plans to manage reserves in the future, while the OCC noted the institution will operate as a trust company separate from stablecoin issuance.

As of July 13, 2026, USDC had $72.95 billion in circulation and $73.15 billion in reserves, with $11.55 billion held in bank deposits, $61.60 billion in overnight reverse repos, and $7.51 billion in short‑term Treasury bills.

Customers can withdraw bank deposits to purchase USDC, and Circle places the corresponding cash in repos or Treasury securities, which may be held by other banks, shifting funding away from local lenders while keeping dollars within the financial system.

Smaller banks that lose deposits may face higher funding costs, tighter margins, or reduced lending capacity, illustrating how stablecoin activity can affect credit supply without changing the overall stock of dollars.

Banks are exploring tokenized deposits and their own stablecoin offerings in response to the growing competition, and the GENIUS Act has shifted the policy debate from whether stablecoins should exist to how they should be supervised and integrated into the financial system.

Circle’s new charter gives institutional counterparties clearer regulatory guidance for using USDC, though mass adoption is not assured and the competition over funding remains unresolved.

CRYPTO

84% of Financial Firms Prioritize Tokenization, Survey Shows

38d ago · Source: coindesk

Broadridge's 2026 survey of 200 North American financial services executives found that 84% consider tokenization a strategic priority, and 68% expect it to partially reshape financial markets within three to five years.

Tokenization represents ownership of real‑world assets such as stocks, bonds, funds or real estate as digital tokens on a blockchain. In the past two years, firms including BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, JPMorgan, Visa and DTCC have launched tokenization initiatives. DTCC completed its first live production trades involving tokenized securities on Wednesday, marking a step toward broader integration.

Most firms favor hybrid infrastructure. Ninety‑two percent expect digital and traditional assets to coexist, and 69% plan to integrate tokenization into existing systems rather than build separate blockchain‑native platforms. Capital markets firms lead adoption, with 44% reporting tokenization initiatives in production or at scale, compared with 20% of asset managers and 9% of wealth managers. About 80% anticipate tokenized mutual funds and money market funds will play a meaningful role within five years, while roughly half expect tokenized equities to achieve similar adoption. Sixty‑eight percent of respondents say tokenization will at least partially reshape financial markets within the next three to five years. Nearly one‑third plan to increase investment in tokenization projects by 26% to 50% or more over the next two years. The primary challenges cited were regulatory uncertainty and the operational complexity of integrating blockchain technology into existing financial systems.

While interest in tokenization remains strong, firms continue to address regulatory and technical hurdles as they incorporate the technology into current market infrastructure.

CRYPTO

Bitcoin Holds Near $62,500 as Altcoins Drop $8.8 Billion in Week

38d ago · Source: cryptoslate

Bitcoin traded near $62,500 over the weekend, while altcoins lost about $8.8 billion from their July 10 total, according to data from cryptoslate.

Altcoin market capitalization fell to $976.3 billion on July 16, then recovered to $983.8 billion on July 17, remaining $8.8 billion below the $992.6 billion level recorded on July 10, and dominance rose to 21.40% from 20.55%.

Lacie Zhang, a research analyst at Bitget Wallet, said Bitcoin is viewed as the cleanest institutional collateral asset, whereas Ethereum carries more exposure to DeFi borrowing and altcoin liquidity.

US‑traded spot Bitcoin ETFs took in $79.1 million on July 16, the latest of three inflow days after a $424.7 million outflow on July 13, while Ethereum ETFs posted roughly $28 million in net outflows the same day.

The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell close to 24% from its late‑June peak, erasing more than $2 trillion in market value and entering bear‑market territory after weak earnings guidance from Samsung and SK Hynix, a pattern that coincided with Bitcoin’s dip below $63,000 and larger declines for Ethereum and HYPE.

A weekly performance chart showed Bitcoin at 96.6, Ethereum at 93.0, and HYPE at 88.7 from July 10 to 17, illustrating the divergent moves among the assets.

If Bitcoin defends $62,500 and pushes toward $65,000 while Ethereum/Bitcoin stabilizes and altcoin dominance approaches 21.76%, the market would indicate that risk is being absorbed without a broader breakdown. Conversely, a breach below $62,500 toward $62,300–$61,800 would suggest a forced unwind affecting high‑beta tokens.

The weekend thus provides the first evidence of whether Bitcoin’s relative strength reflects a defensive shift to crypto’s safest asset or a continuation of broader tech‑risk weakness.

CRYPTO

Kaspersky Identifies Malware Framework Targeting Cryptocurrency Investors

38d ago · Source: cointelegraph

Kaspersky reported a new malware framework named OkoBot that targets cryptocurrency investors, with attacks observed since January 2026.

The malware spreads through social engineering tactics such as ClickFix, which convinces users to execute malicious commands, and through compromised GitHub repositories that appear to be legitimate development tools. It can extract wallet files, browser data and credentials, inject malicious extensions, and capture wallet application windows to facilitate theft.

Kaspersky said the framework originated from the TookPS campaign identified in 2025, which previously used a fake software downloader. OkoBot differs by coordinating up to 20 payloads through an SSH tunnel that transports data to attacker‑controlled servers. A separate campaign documented by SlowMist targets Web3 developers via deceptive LinkedIn recruitment messages that direct victims to malicious GitHub repositories presenting a minimum viable product. The approach mimics standard technical interview procedures, making detection difficult. The malware aims to provide a remote access trojan that steals project keys, cloud credentials, and wallet extension data. SlowMist noted that recent incidents illustrate attackers increasingly exploiting recruitment, code review and collaboration scenarios to trick developers. A day earlier, SlowMist warned of another campaign that targets macOS users, seeking to steal credentials and hijack Telegram sessions to obtain wallet recovery phrases through counterfeit websites.

The report highlights the growing use of social engineering in supply chain attacks against the cryptocurrency sector.

CRYPTO

Robinhood Chain Unlikely to Flip Solana, Data Shows

38d ago · Source: cryptonews

Robinhood Chain launched on July 1 and quickly attracted roughly $185 million in total value locked (TVL) and more than $3 billion in daily DEX volume during its first week, briefly placing it among the top networks by volume and prompting comparisons to Solana. Solana, by contrast, reported about $4.93 billion TVL, $1.91 billion in daily DEX volume, over 2 million active addresses and approximately $3 million in daily application revenue as of mid‑July 2026. The TVL gap between the two chains is roughly 27 to 1, and the user base gap is even larger.

The high DEX volume achieved by Robinhood Chain was driven largely by a memecoin frenzy and a 90‑day gas‑fee subsidy that made transactions artificially cheap, inflating transaction counts and trading activity. TVL, which reflects capital committed to protocols, is a more durable indicator of network health, and Solana leads decisively on this metric.

Robinhood’s advantage lies in its existing distribution network of roughly 28 million customers across 38 countries, giving it a retail brand equity that crypto‑native chains lack. However, there is no evidence yet that these users will convert to on‑chain activity, nor that memecoin traders overlap with the tokenized‑asset investors the chain aims to serve.

Structurally, Robinhood Chain is built for tokenized stocks and real‑world assets, leveraging brokerage licenses and regulatory infrastructure, whereas Solana is a general‑purpose, crypto‑native layer‑1 with a mature DeFi ecosystem. Regulatory restrictions that bar U.S. persons from Robinhood Chain’s flagship products further limit its addressable market.

The Coinbase‑backed Base network provides a comparable case study: it also launched with memecoin‑driven volume, later expanded into broader DeFi and stablecoin use, but did not surpass Solana. Base’s experience suggests that corporate chains can achieve durable growth only after converting speculative users into long‑term participants, a step Robinhood Chain has yet to demonstrate.

Analysts conclude that, based on current on‑chain metrics, Robinhood Chain is unlikely to flip Solana in the near term. Its future growth will depend on the expansion of tokenized real‑world assets and successful user conversion, rather than on overtaking Solana’s DeFi dominance.

CRYPTO

Stablecoin Market Reaches $310 Billion After One Year of GENIUS Act

38d ago · Source: cryptoslate

Stablecoin market capitalization reached approximately $310 billion one year after the GENIUS Act was signed on July 18 2025, according to data compiled from multiple sources. The Federal Reserve measured stablecoin capitalization at $317 billion on April 6, a more than 50 percent increase from early 2025, and reported a 50 percent rise in Ethereum‑based stablecoin transaction volume since the law’s enactment.

The legislation established a federal framework that requires one‑for‑one liquid reserves, redemption rights and monthly reserve disclosures for stablecoin issuers. Implementation measures remain in proposal form as of July 17, with public comment periods extending through August 21.

Kyle Sonlin, president and co‑founder of Global Settlement Network, said his firm now begins discussions with governments and institutions on the basis that stablecoins are accepted as financial infrastructure, reducing the time needed to explain their relevance. Triple‑A CEO Eric Barbier noted a marked reduction in sales cycles for enterprise customers and increased movement of businesses toward implementation of stablecoin payment solutions. Visa’s stablecoin settlement pilot, which supported nine blockchains and achieved a $7 billion annualized run rate by April, represented a 50 percent quarter‑over‑quarter increase.

Industry participants highlighted ongoing compliance challenges. Diogo Cassinelli, sales and partnerships manager at Trace Finance, said that clarity on issuance addressed roughly half of the operational hurdles, while cross‑border payment firms still require individual banking partner reviews that can extend timelines. Banking partners continue to seek a unified legal and supervisory standard to enable consistent compliance across jurisdictions. Regulatory progress includes conditional OCC approvals in December 2025 for national trust bank applications involving Ripple, Fidelity Digital Assets, BitGo, Paxos and First National Digital Currency Bank, and Tether’s launch of USA₮ in January 2026 with Anchorage Digital Bank as issuer and Cantor Fitzgerald as reserve custodian.

The statute takes effect on the earlier of January 18 2027 or 120 days after final federal regulations are issued. The first year lowered the cost of persuasion, and the subsequent months will indicate whether federal rules also reduce integration costs.

TOP STORY

France Orders ISPs to Block Polymarket Citing Illegal Gambling

France’s National Gambling Authority ordered internet service providers to block access to Polymarket on July 16, citing illegal gambling and insufficient user verification afte...

38d ago · Source: cryptonews · 1 min read

France’s National Gambling Authority ordered internet service providers to block access to Polymarket on July 16, citing illegal gambling and insufficient user verification after earlier geoblocking measures failed to stop French visits. The regulator said the platform operates as an unauthorized gambling service under French law and that its verification and location checks are inadequate. Polymarket recorded 578,751 visits and 205,057 unique visitors in June 2026. The ANJ warned that promoting an unlicensed gambling site can incur fines up to €100,000 and that individuals sharing odds may also be penalized. It cited concerns that some event markets appeared rigged and that weather‑sensor data linked to certain markets may have been compromised. French prosecutors opened a cybercrime investigation on May 4 and assigned the case to the Office for Combating Cybercrime, noting insufficient identity verification. A phishing attack caused about $3.1 million in losses across 11 wallets, with affected users set to receive refunds. The ANJ said it will continue monitoring Polymarket and require stronger identity and location verification before access. The Czech Republic has also ordered ISPs to block the site. Regulatory scrutiny of prediction markets is increasing across Europe, with authorities debating whether such contracts qualify as gambling services or financial instruments under MiFID II.

CRYPTO

Bitcoin Call Spreads Target $72,000 by Month End as Fed Meets

38d ago · Source: coindesk

Traders bought $2.5 billion in notional Bitcoin call spreads on Deribit, targeting a Bitcoin price of $72,000 by July 31, aligning with the Federal Reserve’s July 29 interest rate decision.

The options, which consist of buying 20,000 July‑31 $70,000 call contracts and selling 20,000 July‑31 $72,000 call contracts, represent a bull call spread strategy. The notional value equals the dollar amount of 40,000 contracts, each for one Bitcoin. The trade reflects institutional positioning, given the capital size and precise strike selection.

Bitcoin’s spot price rose to about $64,668 on July 18, up from below $58,000 earlier in the month. The timing of the spread—settling two days after the Fed meeting—suggests some traders expect the rate decision to act as a catalyst for further gains. Fed funds futures indicate a high probability the central bank will keep its benchmark rate unchanged in the 3.5%‑3.75% range, with 75%‑80% odds of a hold. Market participants noted a decline in rate‑hike concerns after June inflation data showed slowing price pressures, though a recent escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions and rising oil prices introduced short‑term volatility.

The outcome will depend on the Fed’s decision and subsequent market reaction, with the spread expiring on July 31 if the price reaches or exceeds $72,000.

CRYPTO

Zcash Launches New Node Targeting Visa-Scale Privacy at 50,000 Transactions per Second

38d ago · Source: coindesk

Zcash launched the Zakura full node, a pruned, fast‑syncing fork of the Zebra software, on July 19, aiming to achieve Visa‑scale transaction throughput of 50,000 per second while preserving privacy.

The node is maintained by Sean Bowe, a founding member of Zcash’s zero‑knowledge cryptography team, and Dev Ojha, formerly of Osmosis and now leading Valar Group, and is funded through private ZEC donations.

Zakura supports the Ironwood (NU6.3) upgrade, scheduled to activate on mainnet at block 3,428,143 on July 28, and introduces a turnstile mechanism that caps withdrawals from the Orchard shielded pool to mitigate counterfeit ZEC created by a previously undiscovered soundness bug.

The software can prune blockchain data, reducing the initial download to about 11 gigabytes and allowing a new node to start in under two minutes, which the developers say is 680 times faster than full synchronization.

A compatibility mode reproduces the interface of the legacy zcashd client, enabling existing wallets and exchanges to continue operating without modification.

The team notes that current Zcash cryptography would require more than 500 megabytes of data per second to verify 50,000 transactions, a rate they describe as “680 times faster” than existing node performance, and that Project Tachyon’s recursive proof approach could lower the required consensus data to 500 megabytes per second.

To address wallet bottlenecks, Valar Group is developing private information retrieval techniques that let wallets retrieve their own data from a server without revealing which entries are requested.

Fast block propagation is built into Zakura, with an experimental system designed to deliver each new block to all nodes in under half a second, though this feature remains disabled by default.

The first major test of these capabilities is expected after the Ironwood upgrade activates on July 28, when the network will evaluate whether the combined node, proof, and wallet improvements can sustain high‑volume transaction processing.

CRYPTO

Ethereum Rises 1.8% as CLARITY Act Vote Approaches

38d ago · Source: cryptonews

Ethereum rose 1.8% to $1,845 after Representative Bryan Steil said the Senate might consider the CLARITY Act next week. Spot Ethereum ETFs recorded $105 million in weekly inflows, the highest since April. The CLARITY Act proposes to classify Ethereum as a digital commodity and establish federal rules for its trading and oversight. Steil, chair of the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Digital Assets, told FOX Business that the bill could reach the Senate floor within the coming week. Passage would place ETH under a digital commodity framework and create regulatory guidelines for its market. Polymarket raised the probability that the bill becomes law in 2026 to 39% from 30% on July 17. DeFiLlama reported total value locked at about $40.5 billion, up from roughly $36 billion at the start of July. The network processed $978.9 million in decentralized exchange volume and 2.46 million transactions in the past 24 hours. SoSoValue data showed spot Ethereum ETF inflows of $105 million between July 13 and July 17. Analysts noted that ETH must hold above $1,830 to maintain recent gains; a break below that level could expose the 50‑day EMA near $1,812 and trigger leveraged long liquidations around $1,810. A drop below $1,780 would weaken the double‑bottom pattern and target the 50% retracement at $1,729.24. The near‑term price outlook will depend on the progress of the CLARITY legislation and price action around the $1,830 support level.

CRYPTO

Cardano Plans Bring Bitcoin DeFi through Pogun, Requiring ADA Fees

38d ago · Source: cryptonews

Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson announced a plan to bring roughly $1.6 trillion in idle Bitcoin into Cardano’s DeFi ecosystem through a platform named Pogun, under which each transaction would require ADA to pay fees. The proposal outlines three phases for 2026: a non‑margin credit market in the second quarter, a yield‑focused application in the third quarter, and a BitVM‑based trust‑minimized bridge in the fourth quarter, using Cardano’s Midnight privacy chain and its EUTXO accounting model. Input Output Group has requested about 12.3 million ADA from the treasury to fund development. Community members have raised concerns that making ADA the fee token could limit demand for ADA itself, since users would not need to hold ADA to participate, prompting questions about whether the design benefits ADA holders or primarily Bitcoin holders. The plan’s success will be judged by Bitcoin volume flowing through the system and any measurable increase in ADA demand, while execution timing and competition from other Bitcoin‑DeFi projects pose significant risks.

CRYPTO

Robinhood CEO Says Trading Is Not Gambling as Firm Operates Trump Accounts

38d ago · Source: cryptonews

Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev said the firm is working with the U.S. government to operate “Trump Accounts,” tax‑deferred investment accounts for children, while rejecting the view that trading should be labeled as gambling. The Trump Accounts program, announced by the Treasury Department, allows children born between 2025 and 2028 to receive a $1,000 government contribution that can be invested for the long term. Robinhood helped develop the platform for the program and will manage the accounts for families after activation. Robinhood is broadening its offerings beyond commission‑free stock and cryptocurrency trading to include prediction markets, tokenized assets and banking services. The company launched Robinhood Chain, an Ethereum layer‑2 network for tokenized real‑world assets, on July 1. Tenev said speculation is essential to market functioning and that labeling all trading as gambling mischaracterizes the activity. He noted that more than 90 % of his personal net worth is invested in Robinhood shares. On July 6, Tenev sold 375,000 Robinhood Class B shares under a Rule 10b5‑1 plan adopted in September 2025, leaving him with over 48.2 million shares. Analysts estimate that Robinhood’s prediction market revenue could reach $586 million in 2026, up from about $150 million in 2025, highlighting growing interest in the line between regulated contracts and betting. The partnership with the government and the expansion into new financial products position Robinhood to serve a wider customer base, though the long‑term impact of the Trump Accounts program remains to be seen.

CRYPTO

DOG Mode Proposal Alters Bitcoin Relay Policies without Consensus Changes

38d ago · Source: coindesk

A new Bitcoin client called DOG Mode, created by developer Leonidas, proposes to relax default relay policies for Ordinals and Runes transactions without altering Bitcoin’s consensus rules. The change could affect how transactions are propagated across the network and reignite discussions about Bitcoin’s governance.

The proposal emerges amid a broader debate over Bitcoin’s protocol rules. BIP‑110, a previous proposal, sought to tighten network rules to limit data‑heavy transactions, drawing criticism that it amounted to censorship. DOG Mode takes the opposite approach, arguing that block space should remain neutral and that any transaction paying the prevailing fee is equally valid.

DOG Mode does not require a protocol upgrade; instead it modifies the default settings in Bitcoin Core and other node software that determine which transactions are relayed to peers before miners select them for inclusion in blocks. If many nodes adopt different policy configurations, the network’s mempool could become more fragmented, leading to divergent fee estimates and potentially slower confirmation for some transactions. The fragmentation already exists to a limited extent, but broader acceptance of non‑standard transactions could increase its impact. The proposal also aims to lower the reliance on specialized relay services and direct links to mining pools, potentially reducing the influence of institutional transaction brokers.

Adoption of DOG Mode is not yet clear, and it remains unclear whether the approach will gain traction beyond the Ordinals community. The situation underscores the ongoing uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin’s governance structure.

CRYPTO

Bitcoin Fluctuates Near $63,000 as Strait of Hormuz Tensions Persist

38d ago · Source: cryptoslate

Bitcoin traded around $63,000 on Friday, having fallen about 38 percent from its October 2025 peak of $126,198. Brent crude closed at $85.97 per barrel on July 17, up 2.06 percent, while West Texas Intermediate rose to $80.93, up 2.51 percent. The Strait of Hormuz, which normally carries about 20.9 million barrels of oil per day, saw reduced tanker activity after the United States reimposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports on July 12. Iran responded with missile and drone attacks on U.S. bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and Jordan, and struck two UAE‑flagged tankers in Omani waters, killing one crew member. Shipping disruptions increase insurance and security costs, which can raise oil prices through market expectations. Higher crude prices have fed into inflation expectations and pushed Treasury yields higher, supporting a stronger dollar and reducing demand for risk assets such as Bitcoin. The Federal Reserve held its policy rate at 3.50‑3.75 percent on June 17 and projected a median year‑end 2026 rate of 3.8 percent, up from 3.4 percent in March. Nine of 18 officials anticipated at least one rate hike this year, and 17 judged inflation risks to be tilted to the upside. CPI rose to 4.2 percent. The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for July 28‑29. Traders noted that Bitcoin, as the only continuously traded global risk asset, absorbed weekend volatility when traditional markets were closed, leading to wider spreads and potential liquidation cascades. A sharp move in Bitcoin following a verified military or shipping incident could signal that traders are using the cryptocurrency as a proxy for oil‑supply risk, inflation expectations, and dollar demand. Conversely, de‑escalation, such as the resumption of normal shipping routes, could prompt a Bitcoin rally as traders unwind weekend positions. Bitcoin’s 24/7 trading structure makes it sensitive to macro shifts, especially as spot Bitcoin ETF outflows have persisted. The market will assess whether Bitcoin’s weekend price action predicts a gap in traditional markets when they reopen on Monday.

CRYPTO

Trump Media to Offer Paid API for Faster Access to Truth Social Posts

38d ago · Source: cryptoslate

Trump Media plans to offer a paid API that delivers Truth Social posts faster to algorithmic traders, creating a timing advantage for subscribers before regular users see the content. The company announced the Truth API on July 16 with a scheduled launch on August 1, stating it would cover ten influential accounts, operate continuously, and provide posts more quickly than standard push notifications. A Financial Times report on July 17 said the service could cost up to $100,000 per month, a figure that has not been independently verified. The API targets algorithmic trading firms, banks and other organizations willing to pay for reduced latency, giving traders access to President Donald Trump’s posts seconds after publication while most users must wait for notifications or manual checks. This raises questions about market fairness, especially given a separate investigation into former Trump teleprompter operator Gabriel Perez, who faces a Commodity Futures Trading Commission probe for allegedly using pre‑public remarks to trade on Kalshi contracts. The CFTC requires exchanges to monitor for misuse of confidential information and enforce rules that bar trading on material nonpublic data. Truth Media’s product creates a different issue because the information becomes public at the moment of posting, but a machine‑readable feed can be distributed before retail participants have access, allowing faster traders to engage in post‑publication arbitrage on contracts that depend on the content of Trump’s statements. Regulators are considering measures such as publication‑timestamp verification, source‑triggered trade pauses, and auditable timestamps to close the timing gap. The company has not responded to inquiries about potential unequal trading opportunities. The new feed will operate as a commercial data licensing product, but its speed advantage may require additional regulatory safeguards to preserve the integrity of prediction markets.

CRYPTO

Ethereum's Ultrasound Money Narrative Diminished After Layer-2 Scaling

38d ago · Source: cryptonews

Ethereum's ETH token, once described as deflationary ultrasound money because transaction fees burned under EIP-1559 and issuance fell after the September 2022 Merge, has become mildly inflationary since the March 2024 Dencun upgrade moved most activity to low-fee layer-2 rollups. The EIP-1559 change introduced a base fee that is burned for each transaction, while the Merge replaced proof-of-work mining with proof-of-stake, cutting new ETH issuance by about 90%. Together they created the expectation that higher network usage would outpace issuance and shrink supply. After Dencun, which added cheap blob transactions for rollups, daily ETH burn fell from thousands of ETH to as low as 50-70 ETH, while issuance remained around 1,700 ETH per day. Net annual supply growth measured between 0.2% and 0.8% depending on the period, reversing the earlier deflation. Staking locked roughly 28%-30% of total ETH, reducing the circulating float. Spot Ethereum ETFs recorded net inflows of about $58 million on July 14, 2026. The drop in base-layer fee revenue, from near $40 million in early 2025 to about $10 million in 2026, raised concerns that the network captures little value as activity migrates to rollups that pay minimal fees. Some analysts argued that this weakens the investment case, while others noted that lower issuance and strong demand for blockspace still support price. The December 3, 2025 Fusaka upgrade introduced EIP-7918, which sets a minimum blob fee tied to the execution base fee, roughly one-sixteenth of that fee. Modeling by Fidelity indicated the mechanism could have generated an additional $78.6 million in burn and about 24,641 ETH if active since the Dencun upgrade. The change aims to restore a floor under the burn but does not recreate the high-volume mainnet burn levels of the pre-Dencun era. Whether EIP-7918 and sustained rollup activity will bring net supply toward flat or negative and raise base-layer revenue remains to be seen. Two metrics—annual supply growth and base-layer fee revenue—will indicate if the ultrasound money narrative can re-emerge.

CRYPTO

Digital Wallets Projected to Supplant Traditional Bank Accounts for Younger Consumers

38d ago · Source: coindesk

Crypto executives and banks expect younger, digitally native consumers to rely on wallets holding stablecoins and tokenized assets instead of traditional bank accounts. The Visa stablecoin tracker recorded $6.6 billion in volume across 132.4 million retail‑sized transactions in the past 30 days. Standard Chartered forecasts stablecoin circulation to reach about $2 trillion by 2028 and agent‑led e‑commerce purchases to rise from 1 percent to 12 percent of e‑commerce by 2029. Neobanks now represent nearly 40 percent of new banking accounts worldwide, with more than 1.4 billion users. Adrian Cachinero, co‑founder of Steakhouse Financial, said his 18‑month‑old daughter may never need to open a bank account. He said Steakhouse operates DeFi vaults that let users deposit stablecoins, earn yield and retain control via smart contracts, managing over $4 billion in blockchain assets. Cachinero said banks are not expected to disappear, but that a digital‑first generation will expect online payments, savings and other services. Naveen Mallela, Standard Chartered’s global head of payments, said a single identity‑linked wallet could replace separate bank and brokerage accounts, holding cash, tokenized deposits, stablecoins, crypto and other assets. He clarified that this was his personal view, not an official bank position. Mallela said stablecoins may dominate retail payments and remittances, while tokenized deposits could serve wholesale and institutional flows. Shunyet Jan, Binance’s head of exchange and trading, said many of the exchange’s users are younger, particularly in emerging markets. He said Binance intends to expand beyond trading into payments and other financial services through a super app that consolidates multiple assets in one interface. Jan added that many Binance staff keep most of their holdings on the exchange, enabling payments and debit‑card spending. Eneko Knorr, co‑founder and CEO of Stabolut, said the line between banks and crypto firms is becoming less clear, as traditional banks offer crypto products and crypto platforms provide banking services. He said younger customers may choose apps that combine stablecoins with daily banking functions. Knorr noted that stablecoin payments still depend on regulated banking infrastructure. Rohan Misra, head of the Gulf Cooperation Council region and CEO of AMINA Bank ADGM, said stablecoins are increasingly used for payments and settlement but require regulated banking support. He questioned whether self‑custody, where users hold private keys, will become the default, noting that loss of a private key means irreversible loss of assets, similar to cash kept under a mattress. Analysts said the trend indicates a change in how financial services reach customers rather than the end of banks. Companies are adding accounts and cards, while banks are testing tokenized deposits and blockchain payments. Steakhouse continues to operate mainly with stablecoins and uses its bank account sparingly, according to Cachinero.

CRYPTO

China Reports $125.6 Billion Trade Surplus as Economic Growth Slows

38d ago · Source: cryptoslate

China posted a $125.6 billion trade surplus in June. GDP grew 4.3% year‑over‑year in the second quarter, down from 5.0% in the first quarter and below the 4.5% forecast. Quarterly growth was 0.9%. The National Bureau of Statistics reported June exports rose 20.8% and imports rose 29.4% year‑over‑year. Total trade for the first half of the year increased 16.9% to 25.47 trillion yuan, with exports up 13.4% and mechanical and electrical exports up 20.1%, accounting for 63.5% of goods trade. Private enterprises represented 57% of trade, and trade with Belt and Road partners rose 14.8%. Fixed‑asset investment fell 5.7% in the first half, infrastructure investment fell 2.4%, manufacturing investment fell 1.2%, and real‑estate development investment fell 18%. Retail sales rose 1.3%, private investment dropped 8.5%, and investment in high‑tech industries rose 4.6%, driven by growth in aerospace, computer and office equipment, and information services. The surplus reflects strong external demand for higher‑value industrial goods but does not offset weak domestic consumption, declining property sales, and limited household confidence. Analysts say the trade surplus acts as a pressure valve, allowing factories to remain active while domestic demand remains constrained. Policy makers are expected to address the slowdown at the Politburo meeting in late July, weighing targeted industrial support against broader measures to stimulate household spending and manage debt.

CRYPTO

French Gambling Authority Orders ISPs to Block Polymarket

38d ago · Source: cointelegraph

France’s Autorité nationale des jeux (ANJ) ordered internet service providers to block access to Polymarket on Friday. The regulator said the platform operates without a gambling license in France and that advertising unauthorized gambling sites is a criminal offense punishable by fines up to 100,000 euros. Polymarket enables users to purchase contracts that settle based on the outcome of future events, including elections, sports, economic data and geopolitical developments. The service has attracted billions of dollars in trading volume over the past two years. The ANJ press release noted that Polymarket’s features are additive to regulated gambling offerings and that some event contracts may be susceptible to manipulation. The regulator cited examples in which weather‑related bets appeared to rely on potentially compromised sensors. In May 2026, the cybercrime unit of the Paris Public Prosecutor’s Office opened an investigation after finding a lack of identity verification and know‑your‑customer checks. At the time of the announcement, Polymarket reported that its service was inaccessible in 36 regions. Polymarket has been blocked previously in Singapore, Poland, Portugal, Hungary, Ukraine, Brazil and Indonesia. The platform stated it is geoblocked in those regions. Regulators in the United States have also scrutinized prediction markets. On June 17, Kentucky filed a lawsuit against five platforms, including Polymarket, alleging unlicensed sports betting operations. At least 17 other states have filed similar actions, and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has sued eight states over alleged interference with its authority over federally regulated event contracts. French authorities have not disclosed any timeline for enforcement beyond the immediate ISP directives. The outcome of the investigation and the effect on Polymarket’s operations remain uncertain.

CRYPTO

U.S. Imposes 25% Tariff on Brazilian Goods Starting July 22 Amid Stablecoin Competition

38d ago · Source: coindesk

U.S. Imposes 25% Tariff on Brazilian Goods Starting July 22 Amid Stablecoin Competition

The United States will impose a 25% Section 301 tariff on most Brazilian goods beginning July 22, the first such tariff under a revived Section 301 trade authority.

The tariff targets Brazil’s state‑run instant‑payment system, Pix, which processes more than 90% of domestic transactions and handles billions of transactions monthly, outpacing credit and debit card usage. USTR officials say Pix’s requirement that financial institutions with over 500,000 accounts provide the service free to individuals and its capped fees for businesses disadvantage U.S. payment firms such as Visa and Mastercard.

Washington argues the measures are needed to ensure a level playing field for American companies and to protect the dollar’s role in Brazil’s digital economy, where stablecoins account for roughly 90% of crypto transaction volume and $6‑8 billion in monthly activity.

The Brazilian central bank will restrict stablecoin use in cross‑border payments through Resolution 561 effective October 1, citing concerns over monetary sovereignty, tax enforcement and anti‑money‑laundering controls, while noting that Pix and stablecoins may be complementary.

The dispute could set a precedent for future trade conflicts involving domestic payment networks, potentially affecting systems such as India’s Unified Payments Interface and the European Central Bank’s digital euro.

CRYPTO

Kaspersky Identifies OkoBot Malware Using 20 Modules to Steal Crypto Wallet Recovery Phrases

38d ago · Source: cryptonews

Kaspersky reported that a malware campaign named OkoBot, active for more than a year, uses roughly 20 modules to steal cryptocurrency wallet recovery phrases and has compromised users in Brazil, Vietnam, Canada, Mexico and Turkey. The software distributes through GitHub repositories, disguising itself as legitimate tools such as Microsoft SQL Server Management Studio. OkoBot leverages the ClickFix social‑engineering method, presenting victims with fake error messages or repair instructions that prompt them to execute malicious commands, thereby installing the malware without their knowledge. Modules include SeedHunter, which displays a fake wallet interface for Ledger and Trezor devices, MC Keylogger, which records keystrokes and clipboard activity, and OkoSpyware, which monitors screen content. The report published by Bits.media indicated that the operators block IP addresses from Russia and other Commonwealth of Independent States countries. Kaspersky warned that once a recovery phrase is exposed, blockchain transactions are generally irreversible, leaving victims with limited prospects of recovering lost funds.