NATO officials are evaluating the relocation of existing anti-drone countermeasures to the Black Sea region following requests from Bulgaria, Romania and Turkey, according to diplomatic sources cited by Politico. The three nations are also advancing a joint effort to ensure uninterrupted freedom of navigation in the Black Sea, a priority Bulgaria’s prime minister Radev intends to present to the European Union this week.
Naval activities in the Black Sea have remained limited since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, largely due to the 1936 Montreux Convention, which assigns Turkey authority over strait traffic and restricts military exercises by non-littoral states. This arrangement has constrained NATO’s ability to conduct maneuvers and prevented Russia from repositioning its Black Sea fleet.
Despite maintaining a small conventional navy, Ukraine has significantly disrupted Russian maritime operations through the use of aerial and maritime drones, targeting warships, ports and commercial vessels linked to Russian logistics. In response, Russia has escalated drone strikes against Ukrainian port infrastructure and commercial shipping, occasionally striking vessels from non-belligerent nations operating in the region.
Since late 2023, Ukrainian commercial vessels have largely confined their movements to sea lanes within Romanian, Bulgarian or Turkish territorial waters, according to analysis by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Over 90 percent of Ukraine’s grain exports rely on these routes, making maritime access critical for its agricultural economy.
Recent incidents attributed to Russian forces have intensified concerns over Black Sea security. These include attacks on Ukrainian cargo aircraft at Leipzig Airport in Germany and the discovery of an explosive-laden drone boat near a Romanian offshore gas platform. Such events reflect a broader pattern of hybrid tactics aimed at undermining Ukraine’s supply chains and regional stability.
In response to the growing threats, Turkey, Romania and Bulgaria have continued modernizing their naval capabilities and deepening maritime cooperation, as noted by Carnegie. Analysts suggest that the increasing risks to shipping may further accelerate joint security initiatives, potentially expanding NATO’s role in safeguarding trade routes in the region.
The evolving situation underscores the intersection of security, energy infrastructure and global supply chains in a body of water long considered strategically significant but now at the center of a contested security environment.

